The Power Curve
Economic intelligence for a complex world
The Power Curve produces economic intelligence for leaders who need to understand how economic power compounds across markets, institutions, technology, and capital.
Flagship Report
2026 Outlook
The 2026 Outlook maps the forces reshaping economic power, technological capability, and geopolitical advantage in the year ahead.
- Capital expenditure is becoming strategic terrain.
- Compute and energy are now core constraints on power.
- Institutional execution increasingly separates ambition from capability.
- Cities, infrastructure, and supply chains are becoming arenas of competition.
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- Exhibits
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- Sections
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- Implications
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Independent analysis on the economic and institutional systems that shape durable advantage.
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Research Streams
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Together, they provide a framework for understanding how capability is built, constrained, protected, and sustained.
Strategic competition
How states, firms, and institutions compete through technology, industrial capacity, alliances, statecraft, and economic leverage.
Explore 02Advanced technology
AI, compute, frontier infrastructure, data, productivity, and the systems that convert invention into capability.
Explore 03Capital markets
Capital allocation, investment cycles, financial systems, rates, liquidity, fiscal pressure, and market structure.
Explore 04State capacity
Governance, execution, legitimacy, regulation, procurement, coordination, public capability, and institutional trust.
Explore 05Cities and infrastructure
Urban systems, energy, logistics, housing, resilience, and the physical geography of growth.
Explore 06Risk and resilience
How leaders understand uncertainty as risk, make choices under incomplete information, and build resilience before shocks arrive.
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The Power Curve
Learn about The Power Curve
Brendan Hart is an economist, entrepreneur, and professor who helps senior leaders navigate high-stakes decisions under uncertainty. He founded The Power Curve to analyze how economies, institutions, technologies, and cities evolve as complex adaptive systems.
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