The Power Curve
The Power CurveEconomic intelligence for power, capital, and capacity
Briefing / Risk Resilience

The Great Energy Surge

Two centuries, compounding demand

Desk focus
Risk Resilience
Published
Feb 13
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Power Curve Index

63.4-0.6
Neutral

Trend Momentum

+0.15+0.03
Rising

Growth Nowcast

2.6%-0.2pp
Cooling

Financial Conditions

-0.12-0.04
Easy
Power Curve IndexMethodology
Index history2010 to 2026
40506070
Chart signal

Policy support is doing more work than demand.

Contribution to composite momentum, percentage points.

Latest intelligenceLibrary
Forward watch
Global growth, 12m2.6%
Global inflation, 12m2.8%
Policy rate, US, 12m3.50%
Oil price, Brent, 12m$71
Geography watchRegions

Pressure across strategic trade, capital, and energy nodes.

Flagship report

Depth, Speed, Duration

Three shocks, three mechanisms, and why the next downturn will be measured against the wrong yardstick.

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Research areasAll areas
Advanced TechnologyCapital MarketsCities InfrastructureRisk ResilienceState CapacityStrategic Competition
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